The last thing I want to do is to chastise these dreamers. Hope is the lifeblood of professional sports, the only way to attract millions of fans to a team whose mathematical odds of success are 3% in any given season. It would be especially ambitious to bury a team that has gone 8-1-1 in the last 10 games, and would play 3 of 4 rounds in a conference with no distinct top dog. No, instead I come to analyze these hopes and demonstrate where this team stands currently, what they do well, and what they need to do better to justify the dreaming.
Strengths
It begins, as it should and as it often does in the playoffs, with goaltending. More than enough has been said about the abilities and successes of Henrik Lundqvist.
Depth is another key playoff word. We have seen it in Detroit, Pittsburgh and Chicago and in a league of parity it has become a recipe for success. Though Marc Staal (25:39 TOI/G) may do his best to convince you otherwise, a team's top defensive player cannot stay on the ice for all 60 minutes. If a team can get its scorers on the ice against inferior defensive units, the chance of victory skyrockets. The Rangers have one of the deepest teams with 9 forwards who tallied double-digits in goals. They also have five players who have potted 20, and one in Anisimov (18) who may just get there before the year ends. The "4th line" has combined for 43 goals on the season, approximately 42 more than could be counted on from the likes of a Hollweg-Betts-Orr combo that we have seen in years past. Depth will certainly be a huge advantage for this team in the closely defended playoff-style games.
Of course, we would be remiss not to mention the outstanding defense, both as a position and as a system. The Rangers don't allow too many pucks through to Henrik Lundqvist, placing 10th in shots allowed per game with 29.3 shots.
Honorable Mentions: Penalty Kill (11th, 83.4%; 4th, 11 SHG), Youth (10th, 26.973 average age)
Weaknesses
Toews and Kane. Crosby and Malkin. Datsyuk and Zetterberg. Elite scorers all, who just happened to have won it all once in the past three years. But it is certainly not happenstance that the recent Cup winners have had at least two elite scorers climbing over the boards every two and a half minutes.
Puck possession is a key word in the Tortorella system, and his club has been mightily effective at winning pucks in no-man's-land.
I know, I know - I gave an honorable mention to youth as a strength of this team, and it some respects it is good to be fresh, full of energy, full of belief. But the players that the team relies heavily on are all young and inexperienced. Teams benefit from having a veteran player who has ability to lead a team on the stat-sheet as well as in the locker room. When an experienced hockey player has a big game, it can have a calming effect on the younger players. They don't feel like they have to win it all by themselves. This problem will be exacerbated by the lack of elite scorer, and we may find Dubinsky or Stepan pressing a bit too hard (as we have seen them do in the past), only to become ineffective at the worst possible time.
Honorable Mention:
Power Play (13th, 17.8%; better of late).
Every team in the Eastern Conference has some issues, some more serious than others. Can the Rangers go far in spite of their weaknesses? Possibly, but probably not. The way to take advantage of the wide open draw is to minimize the weaknesses, no easy task at this point of the season, and maximize the strengths. Someone needs to step up and go on a scoring rampage. Someone needs to seize the moment and lead the team to victory. As John Tortorella likes to say, "Stay the course." Play within the system, a system built around the personnel, but also step it up to another level.
This New York, after all. Where all you need is a dollar and a dream.
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